The College Basketball season is almost over, and has been played with hardly any fans in the stands, taking away one of the many joys of college basketball- home-court advantage. I still haven’t gotten used to the cardboard cutouts, and I probably never will. Many teams got late starts and only played conference exclusive schedules, and multiple were forced to sit-out multiple games due to COVID-19 outbreaks and protocols. All of this hasn’t prevented Vegas from taking bets, and it sure hasn’t stopped the Sharp Money team from making bets. Many conferences are nearing conference tournament season, and the drama is starting to heat up as we inch closer to the big dance.
This is a peculiar time to start a blog, but I can assure you we have been locked in all season and are ready to go for the post-season. My name is Roland Zamora, you can find me on Twitter @rolandza24 & I along with my colleagues aim to give you some great insight and betting angles when considering your daily plays. Before we get to the plays, I want to introduce the angles that I typically use when looking into daily matchups. I primarily utilize information regarding the % of money on a side versus the % of tickets taken. I look for large discrepancies when trying to determine which side the public is betting on versus where the large institutional (sharp) money is placed. Secondly, I utilize basic analytic and trend analysis in hopes of finding a side that has sharp money and analytic advantages over the opponent. A great tool for finding analytic advantages is Kenpom.Com. I highly recommend utilizing this website when trying to look for any advantage you can find in a matchup. Lastly, I use a flat unit system. Meaning, I bet a flat amount on each game regardless of the juice. For example, I will always bet 1 unit to win .9 units, not 1.1 units to win 1 unit. I do this in order to properly manage my bankroll based on my risk appetite for a particular bet. The more confident I am in a side, the more I will lay. Now that that’s out of the way, lets get to some winners!
It’s tournament season in the Horizon League, and I’m going to roll with the slight underdog in Detroit (+1.5) against Northern Kentucky in this one. Interestingly enough, due to COVID-19 this is the first time these teams are matching up this season. Detroit comes into this one winning 4 of their last 5, and they’ve been doing it in convincing fashion winning those games by an average of 10 points. They also feature the best player in this matchup with Antoine Davis (24.3 ppg), who is heating up as of late after dropping 46 points against Randolph Morris last time out. Lastly, this game features one of the most lopsided Money% vs. Ticket % discrepancy on the board with Detroit taking in 98% of the money so far with only 24% of wagered tickets per ActionSports.com. Both defenses are fairly friendly, so this could end up being a shootout if you want to look to the over. I tend to favor teams whom are in better form and happen to have a player who can get anything he wants come tourney time.
The Musketeers find themselves closing in on an NCAA Tournament Bid with a big win over Creighton in their last contest. Xavier has a lot riding on this game, and I believe they will be playing with a bit of desperation in order to get this W. Meanwhile, their opponent Georgetown is out of the picture when it comes to the Big Dance, and may be without their best weapon in Jahvon Blair (15.8 ppg). When looking at the money is landing on this one, Xavier is getting 43% of the tickets wagered & 88% of the money. Another signal for me to back Xavier, this line might move even more depending on the news surrounding Blair who is questionable after missing the last game. Back the Musketeers who are the better overall team and coming off a huge victory last time out.
Parlay: Arkansas ML (-280) /Ole Miss ML (-150)
That’s it for me today, not too much on the board but things should be heating up as more teams enter their conference tournaments. We’ll be there with you along the way to hopefully share some winners. Feel free to share some with us as well, this is a community and collaboration is always welcomed. See Please follow @thesharpmoneyteam for more articles like this one, as well as many other sports related topics.