Good Morning everyone! The days keep getting better with more and more daytime college basketball in the forecast, we’ll be here to walk you through it. Last night ended up in the green going 3-0 in College Basketball and losing our only NBA play with the Spurs +4 going down in flames in the last two minutes of that ball game. Today we’re sticking to college basketball as there is so much to cover today with games starting at 10:30 AM CST.
Oklahoma State (+3.5) is one of the hottest teams in the country and boasts the potential number one pick in Cade Cunningham. There is a little bit of uncertainty with this team due to the looming appeal to the NCAA Violation that resulted in their postseason ban. As of right now their NCAA Tournament future is up in the air and has nothing to do with the play on the court. This hasn’t stopped the Cowboys from running through the 2nd half of their schedule by winning 6 of their last 7, including an 85-80 victory over WVU. As of this writing they have 48% of the tickets and 58% of the money, so theirs not a clear advantage in the markets. If there’s an angle in this matchup to be had, it’s in the paint & it favors the Cowboys. That’s a little odd saying considering WVU’s history behind Huggins of employing bully ball with big front courts. That’s not the case this year and it shows as the Mountaineers are allowing teams to shoot for 51% in the paint, an area where OK State loves to operate with 55% of their points coming from inside the 3-point line at a 53% clip per KenPom. Take the bucket with the Cowboys and Cade Cunningham. They also expect to get a boost from Isaac Likekele who is supposed to return for the matchup.
Texas (+2) came in to this season with a lot of question marks surrounding the future of the program and coach Shaka Smart. Both teams in this matchup are expected to make the tournament as the Big 12 was one of the deepest conferences this year with 7 projected teams in the tourney or on the bubble per ESPN. Texas Tech does own a victory over Texas in their last meeting in Lubbock, but it was a close affair most of the game with Tech pulling away for a 9 point victory in the end. The money favors the Longhorns as they’re currently getting 80% of the money on only 40% of the tickets. Also, I believe the analytics slightly favor the Longhorns in this one. Texas loves to shoot the 3 ball and they’re good at it with a 35% average from deep, Texas Tech allows teams to hit at an almost 35% clip at 34.6% per KenPom. Looking closer at Conference-Only play, the Red Raiders are allowing opposing teams to hit the 3-ball at a 38% clip! The Red Raiders offense is predicated on getting into the paint as evidenced by them getting 52.5% of their points from inside the 3-point line. The Longhorns should offer some resistance in the paint as they’re holding teams to around 45% in that area which is almost good for a top-25 ranking in the NCAA. Back the Horns to move on and improve their standing for the big dance.
St. Johns +3 (-120)